BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 34 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength =  165.34

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Neutral W   166.29  24  20   1A  52 (  4-  8) South Carolina          0.75      3.25                      
  2 09/07/2019 Home    W * 160.09  28  25   1A  60 (  6-  7) Miami FL               -5.44      8.44                      
  3 09/13/2019 Away    L * 155.17  18  24   1A  54 (  8-  5) Wake Forest           -10.36      4.36                      
  4 09/21/2019 Home    L   162.23  31  34   1A  28 ( 13-  1) Appalachian St         -3.30      0.30                      
  5 09/28/2019 Home    L * 187.67  20  21   1A   3 ( 14-  1) Clemson                22.13    -23.13                      
  6 10/05/2019 Away    W * 160.73  38  22   1A 114 (  3-  9) Georgia Tech           -4.80     20.80                      
  7 10/19/2019 Away    L * 159.49  41  43   1A  51 (  8-  5) Virginia Tech          -6.04      4.04                      
  8 10/26/2019 Home    W * 155.76  20  17   1A  72 (  5-  7) Duke                   -9.77     12.77                      
  9 11/02/2019 Home    L * 154.00  31  38   1A  44 (  9-  5) Virginia              -11.53      4.53                      
 10 11/14/2019 Away    L * 149.84  27  34   1A  74 (  8-  5) Pittsburgh            -15.69      8.69                      
 11 11/23/2019 Home    W   167.79  56   7   1B  78 (  4-  8) Mercer                  2.26 *   46.74                      
 12 11/30/2019 Away    W * 178.38  41  10   1A 105 (  4-  8) North Carolina St      12.85     18.15                      
 13 12/27/2019 Neutral W   194.47  55  13   1A  82 (  8-  5) Temple                 28.94     13.06                      
      Averages             165.53  33.1 23.7

Best game:  194.47 = 42 point win over Temple
Worst game: 149.84 = 7 point loss to Pittsburgh
Team stdev:  13.48